CA Bizertin vs Etoile Metlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
3º
2º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
CAB
60%
25%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
TAT
1 - 2
CAB
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
3 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
ESP
37%
29%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Metlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
CAB
4 - 2
ETO
45%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 3
USM
33%
29%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CSS
2 - 0
ETO
39%
30%
32%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 2
ESP
37%
30%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |