CA Bizertin vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
3º
2º
21
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
PSS
1 - 2
CAB
9%
19%
72%
|
67 | 12 | 55 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAB
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
OLY
49%
28%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
CAB
40%
31%
29%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 2
CAB
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 6
STA
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASS
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASD
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
EGS
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ASH
0 - 1
EGS
12%
18%
70%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |