CA Bizertin vs Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
3º
2º
16
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ASS
49%
27%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
CAB
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
BEN
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 0
CAB
42%
30%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
CAB
2 - 0
ETO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
ASD
62%
24%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASS
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
55%
27%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EGS
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
TAT
2 - 1
ASD
58%
24%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |