Copa Simón Bolívar Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
CA Bermejo vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bermejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
1 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
QVM
1 - 1
BER
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
BER
2 - 1
SSL
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 22 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
WCO
0 - 2
BER
11%
19%
70%
|
62 | 21 | 41 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
BER
8 - 0
FLA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
1 - 0
BER
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ROY
11 - 1
BEN
66%
21%
14%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ROY
3 - 0
SLB
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 27 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
VAC
0 - 6
ROY
13%
24%
63%
|
70 | 32 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
GRC
2 - 1
ROY
13%
24%
63%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | -1 |