Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 1-4
Bella Vista vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
BVS
68%
19%
14%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
CER
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
FEN
2 - 2
BVS
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CSM
0 - 0
BVS
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
MWA
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 1
IQU
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 2
UCO
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
0 - 2
UCO
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
NTA
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |