Bella Vista vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
3 - 1
JUN
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 2
BVS
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 2
CEL
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
BVS
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 0
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
FEN
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
0 - 3
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
3 - 3
CER
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 2
CSC
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |