Bella Vista vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 1
BVS
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
BVS
54%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BVS
2 - 1
DAN
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
CER
0 - 2
BVS
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEN
4 - 3
PEÑ
18%
22%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CSC
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 7
PEÑ
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |