Bella Vista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
5 - 2
JUV
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 2
BVS
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
3 - 3
LFC
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BVS
76%
16%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 1
ETS
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
4 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
CER
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FEN
2 - 2
NAC
21%
25%
55%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |