Bella Vista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
32%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 1
BSC
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 0
BVS
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
BSC
2 - 0
BVS
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 1
GRE
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
OPE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 4
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |