Bella Vista vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
1 - 1
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
BVS
2 - 2
FLA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
BVS
2 - 1
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1985 |
BVS
0 - 1
MAG
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
1 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 3
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 3
OLI
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |