Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Bella Vista vs Deportivo Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1999 |
CAL
2 - 1
BVS
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
UCO
1 - 3
BVS
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
BVS
2 - 2
UCO
40%
24%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1999 |
BVS
5 - 1
EST
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1999 |
BVS
2 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1999 |
CAL
2 - 1
BVS
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
COL
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
CAL
2 - 0
COL
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
VEL
3 - 0
CAL
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1999 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAL
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |