Bella Vista vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
56.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 0
BVS
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 2
MWA
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FEN
1 - 0
BVS
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
0 - 1
RIV
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BVS
3 - 4
NAC
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 0
FEN
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
PEÑ
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DEF
2 - 1
CEN
67%
20%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
DAN
0 - 2
DEF
30%
26%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |