Bella Vista vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
BVS
2 - 2
FLA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1985 |
BVS
2 - 1
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1985 |
BVS
0 - 1
MAG
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1985 |
BVS
0 - 2
PEÑ
3%
30%
67%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
SCI
1 - 1
COR
47%
29%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
52%
29%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1991 |
COR
1 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
VAS
0 - 1
COR
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
CON
0 - 0
COR
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |