Bella Vista vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 1
BVS
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
RAC
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RIV
1 - 2
BVS
76%
15%
9%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 1
BVS
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 2
ETS
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ETS
2 - 0
CER
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CER
0 - 1
CEL
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 3
CER
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |