Bella Vista vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 1
BVS
78%
16%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 0
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CSC
3 - 2
BVS
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BVS
1 - 2
LFC
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BVS
2 - 2
MWA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 3
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
4 - 2
NAC
26%
28%
47%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 1
CEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 0
FEN
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |