Bella Vista vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 1
BSC
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 0
BVS
75%
15%
10%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
BSC
2 - 0
BVS
59%
21%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 2
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
4 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 0
BVS
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1987 |
NAC
4 - 1
AME
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |