Bella Vista vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
COB
1 - 1
BVS
74%
16%
11%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
ATM
2 - 1
BVS
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
BVS
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2000 |
BVS
1 - 1
COB
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
BVS
1 - 1
CAL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
SAC
3 - 4
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 0
ATM
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2000 |
BOL
3 - 0
MBB
69%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2000 |
COB
3 - 3
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
OPE
4 - 1
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |