CA Bastia vs Valenciennes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
IVR
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LEN
5 - 0
CAB
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 1
CAB
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 1
PSG
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 0
COM
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 4
COM
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 0
VAL
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 2
POI
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
IVR
4 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |