CA Bastia vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
58.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
NIO
1 - 1
CAB
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
CAB
1 - 1
CLE
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
CAE
6 - 1
CAB
73%
19%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 2
ARL
33%
29%
39%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
CAB
71%
20%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
IST
1 - 6
LEN
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASN
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |