CA Bastia vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
SEN
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 0
CAB
34%
28%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
CAB
21%
26%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 1
ALF
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
LEN
40%
29%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
VAL
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ALF
1 - 1
LEN
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEN
3 - 0
DRA
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |