CA Bastia vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAB
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 3
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEH
1 - 1
CAB
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
MET
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAB
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 1
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
LEN
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
LEN
0 - 0
SEN
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 2
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RED
1 - 0
LEN
42%
27%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |