CA Bastia vs Fréjus St-Raphaël analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPI
2 - 0
CAB
66%
21%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
UZE
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 0
CAB
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 3
CAB
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
CAB
4 - 1
DRA
58%
24%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fréjus St-Raphaël
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
1 - 1
PFC
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
FCR
1 - 0
FRE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 0
RED
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FRE
2 - 3
RED
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
FCR
4 - 3
FRE
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |