CA Bastia vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
CAB
47%
28%
26%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
STR
22%
26%
51%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
AMI
1 - 2
CAB
62%
24%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 2
LUC
24%
27%
49%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
CAB
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 4
TRO
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 3
AVR
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAZ
0 - 1
DUN
11%
21%
68%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
2 - 1
CON
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |