CA Bastia vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
AAC
1 - 3
CAB
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAB
2 - 1
AVI
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CAB
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAB
3 - 0
LIL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 0
CAB
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 0
PSG
51%
26%
24%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
DRA
26%
30%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
VAL
56%
25%
20%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 1
DRA
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
SEN
64%
23%
14%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |