CA Bastia vs Aubervilliers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 2
CAB
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AUX
0 - 0
CAB
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 3
POI
64%
20%
16%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IVR
3 - 1
CAB
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
LEN
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AUB
1 - 0
PSG
41%
26%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
AUB
39%
28%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
AUB
0 - 2
VAL
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 3
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AUB
2 - 0
DRA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |