Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-4
Banfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 1
GOD
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 0
DFR
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SLO
1 - 1
BAN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 0
VEL
48%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
BAN
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
DHA
1 - 3
SLO
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SLO
3 - 1
UNI
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
SAP
2 - 4
SLO
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SLO
0 - 4
LAN
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |