Banfield vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
COL
6 - 0
BAN
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
BAN
0 - 4
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1996 |
GIM
4 - 1
BAN
61%
22%
16%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1996 |
BAN
1 - 1
CEN
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1996 |
PLA
2 - 0
BAN
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 2
GLP
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1996 |
IND
2 - 0
SLO
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1996 |
SLO
1 - 0
VEL
38%
26%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1996 |
NOB
0 - 2
SLO
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1996 |
SLO
2 - 2
FER
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |