Banfield vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
EST
0 - 0
BAN
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
BAN
0 - 1
CAU
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 1
BAN
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 1
TAL
29%
26%
46%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
CEN
1 - 0
BAN
74%
17%
8%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 2
BOC
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
4 - 4
RAC
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
EST
0 - 2
CHI
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
CAU
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
HUR
2 - 3
CHI
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |