Banfield vs Central Norte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
3 - 1
MER
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 0
BAN
51%
26%
22%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
0 - 1
GLP
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 1
BAN
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 0
GIM
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Central Norte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 2
TAL
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SJO
0 - 1
CEN
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
TFE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 1
CEN
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
GAF
65%
22%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |