Mérida UD vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2002 |
COM
1 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
MER
0 - 0
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
FCB
3 - 2
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
MER
1 - 0
COM
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
ALM
1 - 2
MER
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
FCB
0 - 1
VAL
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
VAL
0 - 1
COM
42%
25%
34%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
COM
2 - 0
VAL
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
VAL
2 - 2
FCB
47%
23%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDT
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |