Mérida UD vs Sporting Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 0
MER
28%
26%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
SNV
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
DPC
4 - 4
MER
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MER
3 - 1
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
CPL
2 - 2
MER
33%
26%
41%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
SPV
1 - 1
ASJ
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
SPV
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPV
1 - 1
COR
75%
15%
9%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
OLI
0 - 0
SPV
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SPV
3 - 1
SAM
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |