Mérida UD vs Sanvicenteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ASJ
4 - 1
MER
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
CDZ
58%
24%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MER
1 - 0
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
JER
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -3 |
Matches
Sanvicenteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 1
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
DPC
1 - 1
SNV
41%
26%
34%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 2
COR
50%
23%
27%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CPL
2 - 2
SNV
38%
27%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 0
SNV
25%
26%
50%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -2 |