Mérida UD vs Santa Marta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
DBN
2 - 1
MER
28%
27%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ASJ
0 - 1
MER
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MER
1 - 1
ARR
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
MER
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
OLI
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
0 - 3
ASJ
55%
23%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
UDS
76%
14%
9%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
1 - 0
COR
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 2
UDS
35%
26%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
UDS
2 - 0
SAM
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +2 |