Mérida UD vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
MAL
0 - 1
MER
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
MER
0 - 1
ALG
51%
27%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
BET
4 - 0
MER
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
MER
1 - 0
CAD
38%
28%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
JER
1 - 1
MER
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
RJA
0 - 0
CIU
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EXT
1 - 1
RJA
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
RJA
2 - 1
ECI
56%
26%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
SEV
0 - 1
RJA
36%
30%
34%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
RJA
1 - 2
CPC
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |