Mérida UD vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
IMP
0 - 0
MER
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
ALF
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
MER
25%
26%
48%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
VEC
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PPJ
2 - 3
MER
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
UDF
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
RMC
0 - 2
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
ALC
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AGU
1 - 1
LOR
35%
27%
37%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ULP
0 - 3
LOR
37%
29%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |