Mérida UD vs Écija Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
MER
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
MER
1 - 0
GRA
46%
28%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
MER
1 - 3
AGD
37%
31%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Écija Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
1 - 2
BAZ
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
CAR
2 - 1
ECI
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ECI
3 - 3
RJA
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
VVA
1 - 0
ECI
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
ECI
2 - 1
POR
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |