Mérida UD vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
UBC
1 - 2
MER
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
MER
1 - 1
ALC
43%
29%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CDL
2 - 0
MER
44%
30%
27%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
MER
1 - 1
CCF
23%
30%
47%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SEV
3 - 0
MER
53%
26%
21%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
CDZ
0 - 4
CDB
31%
28%
41%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
TAL
0 - 1
CDZ
63%
22%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
CDZ
2 - 2
ALG
33%
30%
37%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
BAZ
4 - 1
CDZ
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
CDZ
3 - 2
AGU
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |