Mérida UD vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BET
3 - 0
MER
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
VIL
0 - 2
MER
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
MER
1 - 1
VIL
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 5
MER
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
MER
4 - 1
MOR
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 1
CDZ
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CDZ
0 - 0
SEV
28%
27%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 3
CDZ
21%
26%
54%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CDZ
2 - 0
MOR
75%
17%
9%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CER
1 - 1
CDZ
27%
26%
47%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |