Mérida UD vs Ciudad de Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 3
MER
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MER
0 - 1
SAM
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
EXT
1 - 0
MER
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
DBN
48%
26%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ARR
1 - 0
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CPL
0 - 2
HER
49%
26%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DPC
2 - 2
CPL
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CPL
2 - 2
COR
29%
25%
47%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
CPL
29%
26%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 3
CPL
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |