Mérida UD vs Chinato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
HER
0 - 1
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 3
JER
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -3 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPV
1 - 0
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
MER
0 - 0
MOR
62%
22%
16%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SNV
1 - 0
MER
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Chinato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 3
JER
27%
26%
47%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
MOR
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CDC
1 - 1
CHI
20%
21%
59%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
SRE
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
ADC
1 - 4
CHI
12%
18%
70%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |