Mérida UD vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
EXT
1 - 2
MER
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MER
2 - 0
CPC
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
PPJ
1 - 0
MER
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MER
0 - 0
COR
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SEV
4 - 0
MER
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDB
28%
29%
43%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LAN
2 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 1
ULP
28%
29%
43%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
BET
4 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
ECI
26%
28%
47%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |