Mérida UD vs Atl San José Promesas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CDZ
0 - 1
MER
53%
25%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
MER
19%
25%
56%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
HER
62%
23%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MER
1 - 1
DPC
52%
25%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
COR
2 - 3
MER
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl San José Promesas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASJ
2 - 1
HER
60%
22%
18%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DPC
4 - 3
ASJ
54%
24%
23%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASJ
0 - 0
COR
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASJ
0 - 2
CPL
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PUE
0 - 0
ASJ
35%
26%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |