Mérida UD vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
COR
1 - 1
MER
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
OLI
77%
16%
7%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
MER
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
MER
2 - 3
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MIA
1 - 0
MER
16%
23%
61%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARR
4 - 3
ASJ
77%
14%
9%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DBN
2 - 1
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
COR
1 - 3
ARR
16%
20%
64%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
SAM
4 - 3
ARR
22%
23%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |