Mérida UD vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
27.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BET
0 - 1
MER
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MER
3 - 0
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
MER
34%
28%
39%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MER
4 - 2
MAZ
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LOR
0 - 0
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AGD
2 - 1
AGU
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
AGD
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 1
MEL
49%
29%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ECI
0 - 1
AGD
50%
28%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
AGD
3 - 0
PUE
41%
29%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |