Mérida UD vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
MEL
0 - 0
MER
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
MER
0 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
21%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CIU
0 - 1
MER
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
MER
1 - 0
EXT
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
ECI
2 - 1
MER
38%
30%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AGD
0 - 0
CIU
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
EXT
1 - 2
AGD
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2003 |
ECI
0 - 0
AGD
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
AGD
2 - 0
SEV
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
CPC
3 - 1
AGD
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |