SCD Durango vs Tolosa CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.5%
15.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
ALA
0 - 1
CDU
86%
9%
5%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CDU
1 - 2
TOL
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
SDE
1 - 1
CDU
70%
16%
14%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
CDU
2 - 1
RUN
70%
15%
15%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
CDU
3 - 0
SDE
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1947 |
TOL
0 - 3
ZAR
26%
22%
53%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1947 |
CDU
1 - 2
TOL
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1947 |
TOL
2 - 2
CDG
53%
20%
27%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1947 |
MAE
6 - 2
TOL
84%
9%
7%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOL
56%
20%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |