SCD Durango vs SD Erandio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
SSC
1 - 1
CDU
85%
9%
6%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
CDU
0 - 1
ARE
28%
20%
53%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LOG
4 - 3
CDU
84%
10%
6%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
CDU
2 - 2
OSA
31%
21%
49%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
SDI
3 - 1
CDU
85%
9%
6%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SD Erandio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
SDE
3 - 2
MAE
56%
20%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
ALA
3 - 5
SDE
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
SDE
3 - 0
TOL
72%
16%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1947 |
SDE
5 - 0
IZA
84%
10%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1947 |
RUN
7 - 1
SDE
60%
20%
21%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |