Copa Federacion 1/16
Global 3-5
SCD Durango vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ATH
2 - 2
CDU
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CDU
1 - 1
RUN
27%
28%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CLH
2 - 2
CDU
80%
14%
7%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CDU
2 - 1
SPB
12%
23%
64%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
UPL
4 - 1
CDU
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 2
BAR
34%
29%
37%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
CDU
1 - 1
RUN
27%
28%
45%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
RUN
0 - 3
RAC
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
IZA
1 - 1
RUN
32%
29%
39%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RUN
1 - 1
ARE
46%
26%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |