SCD Durango vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
LEM
1 - 2
CDU
39%
27%
34%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
CDU
0 - 0
ZAL
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
CDU
7 - 1
ELG
80%
14%
6%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
POR
1 - 0
CDU
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
CDU
2 - 0
BKE
83%
12%
5%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
EIB
3 - 0
ALB
34%
31%
35%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
GRA
2 - 0
EIB
77%
17%
6%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
EIB
3 - 1
TOL
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
RUN
0 - 1
EIB
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1986 |
EIB
3 - 1
HER
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |