Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
SCD Durango vs Deportivo Rayo Cantabria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
CDU
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
CDU
0 - 3
SDA
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ARE
0 - 1
CDU
27%
28%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
CDU
1 - 0
ELG
71%
18%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ZAM
1 - 1
CDU
24%
26%
50%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
BEZ
1 - 4
RAY
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RAY
3 - 1
PON
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ESC
1 - 2
RAY
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 8
RAY
10%
20%
71%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RAY
0 - 0
RAC
25%
24%
51%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |